
614 Ladin Lane offers something very few homes in this price band can: a walk of roughly 100 yards to a private HOA park with a boat ramp and dock on Lake Travis, on a level 0.88-acre cul-de-sac lot that backs to Lakeway City Park.
Over the past year, comparable Lakeway homes between 4,500 and 6,300 square feet have closed in a narrow band of $1,350,000 to $1,500,000. The homes that launched inside that band sold in about three weeks. The homes that launched above it reduced, sat, and still closed inside it.
Our recommendation is built on that pattern, and on preparing the home so that its lake access, its scale, and its new pickleball court are what buyers remember.


Living area | 5,597 SF (MLS) / 5,595 SF (tax record) |
Bedrooms / Baths | 5 bedrooms / 5 full baths |
Primary suite | Main level |
Levels | Two — 3,172 SF main, 2,423 SF upper |
Year built | 2006 |
Lot | 0.88 acre, level, cul-de-sac, backs to Lakeway City Park |
Lake access | Private HOA park with boat ramp and dock, approx. 100 yards |
Pool | Heated pool and spa, diving board, slide, stone grotto and waterfall |
Garage | Oversized three-car attached with boat storage |
Construction | Masonry on all sides, tile roof |
Living spaces | Media room, game room, gym, two living areas, library |
Added since 2018 | Pickleball court; tall palms removed |
Schools | Lake Travis ISD — Serene Hills, Hudson Bend, Lake Travis HS |



Lakeway and the 620 corridor, resale homes, 4,500–6,300 SF, pool, closed December 2025 – October 2026:
from $1,350,000 to $1,500,000
with a range of $245–$308/SF
for homes that never reduced, against 104 days for those that did
Price per square foot falls as homes get larger. The largest closed comparable, 111 Sebastians Run at 6,114 SF, closed at $245/SF. That matters for a 5,597 SF home: the closed band, not the median $/SF, sets the realistic value.

Two-story median: $288/SF
Address | SF | Acres | Built | Close | $/SF | DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15317 Harrier Marsh Dr | 4,646 | 0.22 | 2012 | $1,365,000 | $294 | 12 |
4312 Lakeway Blvd | 5,040 | 0.50 | 2002 | $1,380,000 | $274 | 33 |
5309 Laguna Cliff Ln | 5,194 | 1.76 | 2003 | $1,400,000 | $270 | 79 |
302 Lodestone Ln | 4,929 | 0.76 | 2019 | $1,418,000 | $288 | 87 |
3704 Kenora Ct | 4,996 | 0.52 | 1999 | $1,422,500 | $285 | 84 |
106 Lakota Pass | 4,703 | 0.31 | 2007 | $1,450,000 | $308 | 13 |
2 Heatherbloom Ln | 5,183 | 0.85 | 1999 | $1,500,000 | $289 | 133 |
Address | Levels | SF | Close | $/SF | DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
118 Lido St | One-story + guest house | 4,501 | $1,350,000 | $300 | 121 |
111 Sendera Bonita (Arbolago) | 3+ | 5,359 | $1,450,000 | $271 | 121 |
111 Sebastians Run | 3+ | 6,114 | $1,496,000 | $245 | 36 |

Full MLS sweep, October 13, 2026: single-family resale, 78734 and 78738, 4,800–6,500 SF, listed at $1.2M–$1.8M. Ten homes.
Address | Status · Built · SF · Acres · Pool · List Price · $/SF · DOM |
|---|---|
106 Sendera Bonita (Arbolago) | Pending · 2000 · 5,712 · 1.01 · Yes · $1,350,000 · $236 · 16 |
312 Camino Arbolago | Active · 2007 · 6,310 · 1.00 · Yes · $1,595,000 · $253 · 113 |
404 Aria Dr (Alta Vista) | Active · 2005 · 5,069 · 0.50 · No · $1,299,999 · $256 · 144 |
15421 McCormick Vista Dr | Active · 2022 · 5,841* · 1.23 · Yes · $1,549,000 · $265 · 221 |
14 Torrington Ln (The Hills) | Active · 1999 · 5,060 · 0.64 · Yes · $1,345,000 · $266 · 144 |
Address | Status · Built · SF · Acres · Pool · List Price · $/SF · DOM |
|---|---|
312 Bisset Ct (Rough Hollow) | Active · 2018 · 5,003 · 0.31 · No · $1,360,000 · $272 · 105 |
407 Hurst Creek Rd (Lakeway) | Active · 2007 · 4,980 · 0.33 · Yes · $1,499,900 · $301 · 108 |
6825 Davenport Divide Rd | Under contract · 2021 · 5,416 · 0.43 · No · $1,699,000 · $314 · 51 |
109 Bisset Ct (Rough Hollow) | Active · 2019 · 5,282 · 0.33 · Yes · $1,699,000 · $322 · 266 |
4127 Lago Viento Dr | Under contract · 2016 · 4,978 · 1.08 · Yes · $1,750,000 · $352 · 30 |
*Floor plan measures 4,853 SF finished; 5,841 SF is the appraisal district total.
Active median: $269/SF. Bottom quartile: $259/SF and below.


Anchor comparable: 111 Sendera Bonita, Arbolago — closed $1,450,000, July 2026. It is the closest closed match on size, acreage and walkable private lake access.
Bracketed range after make-ready: $1,425,000 – $1,475,000
Without the make-ready, the condition adjustment becomes approximately −$60,000, for an as-is indicated value near $1,394,000.
Factor | 111 Sendera Bonita | 614 Ladin Ln | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|---|
Close price | $1,450,000 | — | — |
Living area | 5,359 SF | 5,597 SF | +$24,000 |
Lot | 1.53 ac, greenbelt | 0.88 ac, level, backs to park | −$25,000 |
View | Miles of Hill Country | Lake view from upper deck; private elsewhere | −$25,000 |
Lake access | Trail to HOA lake park, day docks | ~100 yd to HOA ramp and dock | +$25,000 |
Boat storage | Oversized 3-car | Oversized 3-car with boat storage | Included above |
Community | Gated | Not gated (private drive gate) | −$15,000 |
Layout | 3+ levels | Two levels, primary on main | +$10,000 |
Sport court | None | Pickleball court | +$25,000 |
Flood designation | None | Partial AE on lot | −$15,000 |
Condition | Custom resale, show-ready | After full make-ready | $0 |
Indicated value | $1,454,000 | ||

We measure every sale against its original list price. Measuring against the reduced price hides the cost of overpricing.
Cohort | Homes | Median % of launch price | Median days on market |
|---|---|---|---|
Priced correctly — never reduced | 4 | 99.3% | 23 |
Reduced after launch | 6 | 85.8% | 104 |
The reduced homes did not close for more because they started higher. They closed in the same $1.35M–$1.50M band as everyone else, only later.

Seven of seven closed between 81.8% and 90.0% of their launch price. None closed above $1,500,000.
Address | Launched | Reduced to | Closed | % of launch | DOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
118 Lido St | $1,650,000 | $1,475,000 | $1,350,000 | 81.8% | 121 |
5309 Laguna Cliff Ln | $1,595,000 | $1,495,000 | $1,400,000 | 87.8% | 79 |
302 Lodestone Ln | $1,575,000 | $1,525,000 | $1,418,000 | 90.0% | 87 |
3704 Kenora Ct | $1,699,000 | $1,499,000 | $1,422,500 | 83.7% | 84 |
111 Sendera Bonita | $1,749,900 | $1,599,900 | $1,450,000 | 82.9% | 121 |
111 Sebastians Run | $1,695,000 | — | $1,496,000 | 88.3% | 36 |
2 Heatherbloom Ln | $1,675,000 | $1,549,999 | $1,500,000 | 89.6% | 133 |
15421 McCormick Vista Dr | $2,175,000 | $1,549,000 | Active | — | 221 |
312 Camino Arbolago | $1,790,000 | $1,595,000 | Active | — | 113 |

Read the Modeled Close row first.
Test | Recommended | Velocity | |
|---|---|---|---|
Modeled close | $1,400,000 – $1,420,000 | $1,420,000 – $1,440,000 | $1,385,000 – $1,400,000 |
Expected days on market | 100 – 130 | 20 – 35 | 10 – 20 |
List price | $1,525,000 | $1,449,000 | $1,399,000 |
Price per SF | $272 | $259 | $250 |
Comparable cohort | Launched $1.5M+ and reduced | Launched inside the band, never reduced | Launched below the band |
Position against actives (on $/SF) | Upper half (60th percentile) | Bottom-quartile line (30th percentile) | Second-lowest of eleven |
The Test price does not model to a higher sale. It models to roughly the same result, about 90 days later, with a reduction in the listing history for buyers to see.
If you prefer to test the market: we launch at $1,525,000 and agree in writing now to move to $1,449,000 on day 21. That captures any upside in the first three weeks without giving buyers the reduction to use against you later.

This number depends on the make-ready. In today's market, a home has to sit in the top 25% on presentation and the bottom 25% on price against the actives. If we launch with the home as it stands today, the price has to do all the work, and Velocity ($1,399,000) becomes the right entry point.

Sequence: clean-out → repairs and lighting → staging → photography



Window | Focus |
|---|---|
Weeks −3 to −1 | Clean-out, repairs, lighting, landscape refresh |
Week −1 | Staging, then photography, video and aerials |
Days 1–3 | Coming-soon preview to agents; public launch |
Days 4–10 | Launch weekend showings; buyer and agent feedback compiled |
Days 11–21 | Feedback review with you; second-wave marketing |
Day 21 | Scheduled strategy checkpoint (or pre-agreed price move, if launched at Test) |


Your current tax bill reflects homestead and senior exemptions. A buyer's taxes will reset to the purchase price at the current combined rate of 1.8467%.
Purchase price | Estimated annual property tax* |
|---|---|
$1,399,000 | $25,835 |
$1,449,000 | $26,759 |
$1,525,000 | $28,162 |
*Before the buyer's own homestead exemption. 2026 combined rate across Travis County, Lake Travis ISD, Travis County Hospital District, City of Lakeway, Lakeway MUD and ESD No. 6.
Buyers compare monthly costs, not just the price. Each $75,000 of list price adds about $1,385 a year in taxes, on top of the higher mortgage payment. This is part of why the market holds firm at the top of the band.

Daniel & Jacquelyn Foreman | Foreman Property Group | eXp Realty Luxury

614 Ladin Lane
Pricing Strategy & Market Analysis
Prepared for Lenny & Nancy Werbin
Daniel & Jacquelyn Foreman | Foreman Property Group | eXp Realty Luxury
October 2026